Markets

NQ futures backtesting

Maintained by Patrik Kelemen, founder of BenchAlgo. Last reviewed .

Short answer

To backtest an NQ strategy honestly, set stops by how far NQ really moves, fill after the signal, and read the results by year, because NQ’s volatility changes a lot. In BenchAlgo the harness runs the idea on up to 15 years of NQ or MNQ history and scores it out of 10.

NQ and MNQ contract facts

NQ is the E-mini Nasdaq-100 future, worth $20 times the index. MNQ is the micro version, one tenth of the size. The tick is 0.25 index points, the same as ES, on an index that trades at a much higher level.

NQ and MNQ in dollars
ContractTickTick value16-tick minimum stop3 ticks of slippage, round trip
NQ0.25$5.00$80$15.00
MNQ0.25$0.50$8$1.50

What to watch on NQ

  • Stops in ticks mean less here. The tick is the same as on ES, but the same percentage move is many more ticks. A 16-tick stop is 4 index points, and that is small on NQ. Size stops from what the market does.
  • Volatility regimes. The same setting can be far too tight one year and far too wide another. Check it year by year and test the neighbouring settings.
  • Dollar swings. Moves are large in ticks, so one contract can swing a lot. Try MNQ if the drawdown is too big for your account.
  • A strong rising market flatters long-only ideas. Compare with random entries before you believe the curve.

Most of our own strategies on the home page trade NQ. Their results are backtests: hypothetical, and chosen with hindsight.

How the backtest runs in BenchAlgo

  • Your strategy gets completed 1-minute bars, one at a time. The plan includes up to 15 years of OHLC bars, from CME Globex data.
  • Bars come from one front-month contract per session, never a blend. History is back-adjusted at rolls, so there is no jump at a roll.
  • Orders fill at the next bar open at the earliest, and the stop is checked first inside a bar.
  • A strategy holds one position at a time, from 1 to 10 contracts, and is flat by 16:10 ET. Nothing is held into the next session.
  • You see profit and loss in US dollars, and every trade as a move in ticks from its entry. You never see raw prices.

Sources

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